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07/25/2010 - Essex, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Daniel Gaunt closed with a four-under 68 Sunday to come from behind and win the English Challenge.
Gaunt finished at 17-under-par 271 for his first European Challenge Tour victory.
It was amateur Tommy Fleetwood who handed the Gaunt the title though. Fleetwood stumbled to a bogey on the 72nd hole to finish one back at minus-16. He posted a three-under 69 to share second with Craig Lee (68).
Gaunt birdied the first three holes to move to 16-under. He bogeyed the fourth but came back with birdies on five and seven.
Meanwhile, Fleetwood birdied one and two, but gave those strokes back with a double-bogey on the fourth. He got one back with a birdie on the fifth, then parred his next seven holes.
Gaunt tripped to another bogey at the ninth and led Fleetwood by two at the turn. Both players birdied the 13th and Fleetwood made it two in a row on 14 to get within one.
Fleetwood birdied the 16th for the third straight day to tie for the lead. However, he bogeyed the last to end one behind Gaunt, who parred the final five holes.
Third-round leader Thorbjorn Olesen stumbled to a two-over 74 to take fourth at 15-under-par 273.
<< Reds, Leake hope to pad lead in NL Central in finale with Astros
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Rookie Mike Leake can finish off a series sweep and keep
the Cincinnati Reds in first place this afternoon when they close out a three-
game set with the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park.
The Reds lead the National Leag
<< Detwiler makes season debut in finale with Brewers
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lefty Ross Detwiler makes his season debut today when the
Washington Nationals try to avoid a sweep in the finale of a three-game series
with the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park.
On Saturday, Ryan Braun drove in Rickie We
<< Giants, Lincecum go for sweep in Arizona
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tim Lincecum tries to bounce back from a shaky effort his
last time out when the San Francisco Giants close out a four-game series with
the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field.
Lincecum escaped without getting a decision o
<< Mets wrap up disastrous road trip at Chavez Ravine
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - R.A. Dickey targets his first win in six starts this
afternoon when the New York Mets wrap up what has been a disastrous road trip
with the finale of their four-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers at
Dodger Stadium.
Johnson gets dramatic home win in Sweden >>
Stockholm, Sweden (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Sweden's Richard S. Johnson made a long
birdie putt at the 18th hole Sunday to win the Scandinavian Masters by one
shot.
Johnson closed with a one-under 71 and finished at 11-under 277, beating th
Giants' Velez put on DL >>
Phoenix, AZ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - San Francisco Giants outfielder Eugenio Velez
was placed on the 15-day disabled list Sunday with a head contusion and
concussion suffered as a result of being hit by a foul ball during Saturday's
game ag
Marlins recall Volstad, place Marinez on DL >>
Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Florida Marlins placed pitcher Jhan Marinez
on the 15-day disabled list and recalled right-hander Chris Volstad from
Triple-A New Orleans.
Marinez was 1-1 with a 6.75 earned run average in four relie
Langer wins first senior major at Carnoustie >>
Carnoustie, Scotland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Bernhard Langer bogeyed the final hole
Sunday, but it was enough to give him a one-stroke victory at the Senior
British Open.
Langer posted a one-over 72 to finish at five-under-par 279.
The
Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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